Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 35.496035 42.074739 49.320952 57.865740 67.635898 78.427452 91.216927
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.553315 35.435568 46.194564 60.057228 77.302933 97.899742 124.192145
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.774936 30.464395 43.106063 60.529080 83.599169 112.749354 151.961345
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.147848 25.766021 39.165134 58.737053 86.054622 122.221113 172.991235
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.368550 22.985186 37.170855 58.947652 90.717850 134.433316 197.970959
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.424846 21.031647 35.954383 59.896368 96.202729 147.848993 225.169829
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.805081 17.483711 31.749308 55.750448 93.669687 149.519879 235.736659
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.795447 16.452356 31.337699 57.331267 99.720123 163.834251 265.128398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.601643 14.859169 29.741098 56.743508 102.218607 172.863804 287.086421
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.240216 14.770704 30.714128 60.501909 111.903929 193.371158 327.374641
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.000714 12.694182 27.810408 57.196888 109.589797 194.867178 338.355785
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.533237 12.143210 27.674689 58.781763 115.602789 209.915594 371.257032
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.133614 11.759048 27.990786 61.577468 124.559320 231.319581 417.212442
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.720343 11.275103 28.076212 64.025464 133.261574 253.139623 465.604548
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.206162 10.417434 27.235844 64.537960 138.442442 269.289300 505.525166
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.608768 9.177707 25.340771 62.646860 138.890015 277.188851 531.913022
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.242882 8.468000 24.520686 62.869448 143.349001 292.357376 571.450280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.973195 7.962310 24.094826 63.871441 149.383080 310.664034 617.321197
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.497292 6.651335 21.422608 59.491775 144.110487 307.813187 625.527453
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.348187 6.378440 21.383802 61.162028 151.457894 328.937362 677.804811
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.136647 5.808872 20.436701 60.541063 153.868711 340.757610 713.628609
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.098841 5.887459 21.324960 64.510912 166.505574 373.011173 788.642328
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.852257 5.033873 19.341158 61.020061 162.395419 372.167919 801.714583